Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.084478 0.094083 0.103837 0.114456 0.125663 0.137113 0.149669
2025-08-03 0.068723 0.083153 0.098453 0.115753 0.134652 0.154560 0.177009
2025-08-10 0.058559 0.075992 0.095138 0.117434 0.142415 0.169304 0.200203
2025-08-17 0.050279 0.069634 0.091579 0.117790 0.147784 0.180631 0.218940
2025-08-24 0.041649 0.061833 0.085485 0.114457 0.148286 0.185937 0.230442
2025-08-31 0.034855 0.055494 0.080476 0.111807 0.149068 0.191131 0.241432
2025-09-07 0.030821 0.052174 0.078743 0.112715 0.153710 0.200506 0.256966
2025-09-14 0.027827 0.049887 0.078037 0.114653 0.159396 0.210951 0.273617
2025-09-21 0.026197 0.049253 0.079284 0.118876 0.167728 0.224422 0.293720
2025-09-28 0.023595 0.047018 0.078283 0.120153 0.172394 0.233509 0.308676
2025-10-05 0.024021 0.049113 0.082965 0.128603 0.185808 0.252956 0.335755
2025-10-12 0.021036 0.045944 0.080461 0.127767 0.187735 0.258691 0.346722
2025-10-19 0.019814 0.045477 0.081751 0.132051 0.196322 0.272792 0.368061
2025-10-26 0.017456 0.043052 0.080253 0.132679 0.200384 0.281538 0.383205
2025-11-02 0.015666 0.041346 0.079637 0.134376 0.205728 0.291801 0.400138
2025-11-09 0.013697 0.039109 0.078110 0.134742 0.209302 0.299851 0.414389
2025-11-16 0.010965 0.035146 0.073803 0.131141 0.207636 0.301359 0.420672
2025-11-23 0.008769 0.031798 0.070173 0.128279 0.206775 0.303742 0.427916
2025-11-30 0.007639 0.030362 0.069364 0.129260 0.210856 0.312201 0.442485
2025-12-07 0.006839 0.029492 0.069376 0.131353 0.216368 0.322426 0.459197
2025-12-14 0.006553 0.029715 0.071122 0.135910 0.225139 0.336737 0.480911
2025-12-21 0.005748 0.028628 0.070679 0.137288 0.229670 0.345723 0.496119
2025-12-28 0.006267 0.030752 0.075555 0.146389 0.244523 0.367720 0.527298